Phase I/II study of stereotactic body radiotherapy boost in patients with cervical cancer ineligible for intracavitary brachytherapy.

PURPOSE: Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) boost is a promising treatment for cervical cancer patients who are ineligible for intracavitary brachytherapy (ICBT). The aim of this multicenter, single-arm, phase I/II study was to prospectively evaluate the efficacy and toxicity of SBRT boost. MATERIALS AND METHODS: ICBT-ineligible patients with untreated cervical cancer were enrolled. Patients underwent whole-pelvic radiotherapy (45 Gy in 25 fractions) with SBRT boost to the primary lesion. In the phase I dose-escalation cohort (3 + 3 design), patients were treated with SBRT boost of 21 or 22.5 Gy in three fractions. Although dose-limiting toxicity was not confirmed, a dose of 21 Gy was selected for the phase II cohort because it was difficult to reproduce the pelvic organs position in two patients during the phase I trial. The primary endpoint was 2-year progression-free survival. RESULTS: Twenty-one patients (phase I, n = 3; phase II, n = 18) were enrolled between April 2016 and October 2020; 17 (81%) had clinical stage III-IV (with para-aortic lymph node metastases) disease. The median (range) follow-up was 40 (10-84) months. The initial response was complete response in 20 patients and partial response in one patient. The 2-year locoregional control, progression-free survival, and overall survival rates were 84%, 67%, and 81%, respectively. Grade ≥ 3 toxicity was confirmed in one patient each in the acute (diarrhea) and late (urinary tract obstruction) phases. CONCLUSION: These findings suggested that a SBRT boost is more effective than the conventional EBRT boost and can be an important treatment option for ICBT-ineligible patients with cervical cancer. STUDY REGISTRATION: This study was registered at the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000036845).

Plain computed tomography for differentiating neoplastic and non-neoplastic pedunculated gallbladder polyps.

AIMS: Surgery is recommended for large pedunculated gallbladder polyps (PGPs), which measure 10 mm or more in size, because they tend to be neoplastic polyps (NPs), such as adenomas and adenocarcinomas. However, after resection, they are often found to be non-neoplastic polyps (non-NPs). This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of plain CT in distinguishing NPs from non-NPs. METHODS: Of the 80 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for PGPs ( 10 mm between January 2008 and February 2021, 46 who underwent plain and contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) before resection were included in this study. We retrospectively assessed the polyp detection rate (PDR) using CT and calculated the difference in the CT values between PGPs and the surrounding bile. RESULTS: Twenty-one patients had NPs (12 adenomas, 5 carcinomas in adenoma, and 4 adenocarcinomas). The others were non-NPs (24 cholesterol polyps and one hyperplastic polyp). The PDR using plain CT was significantly higher in the NP group than in the non-NP group (38% (8/21) vs. 0% (0/25), p <0.01). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and diagnostic accuracy of NPs were 38%, 100%, 100%, 66%, and 72%, respectively. The difference in the CT values between PGPs and the surrounding bile was significantly larger in the NP group than in the non-NP group (14.12 ± 11.38 HU, 5.04 ± 6.15 HU, p <0.01). CONCLUSIONS: PGPs detected using plain CT had a high probability of being NPs. Plain CT is therefore considered to be useful for differentiating NPs from non-NPs.

Clinicopathological importance of Bcl-2 and p53 in postmenopausal triple-negative breast carcinoma and association with age.

Appropriate biomarkers are required to predict the clinical outcome of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). In this study, we focused on the clinical importance of two representative tumor-associated proteins, Bcl-2 and p53. Bcl-2 expression is usually related to estrogen receptor expression and a favorable outcome in breast cancer. TNBC has been reported to show a high frequency of p53 positivity suggesting TP53 mutations. The expressions of Bcl-2 and p53 were immunohistochemically examined in TNBC involving two age groups of postmenopausal women (≥75 y/o, n = 75; 55-64 y/o, n = 47), who underwent surgery without neoadjuvant therapy. We examined their associations with each other, or with clinicopathological factors including the outcome. Bcl-2 expression was inversely correlated with androgen receptor, apocrine morphology, and p53 expressions, and was an independent predictor of a poor outcome in total or in younger women. p53 positivity was associated with a more favorable outcome than p53 negativity in the younger group. In combined analyzes, none of the twenty Bcl-2-negative/p53-positive cases in the younger group exhibited recurrence, resulting in the independent favorable predictive value of Bcl-2-negative/p53-positive. The anti-apoptotic nature of Bcl-2 may be apparent in TNBC. The excellent outcome of Bcl-2-negative/p53-positive cases in the younger group warrants further combined investigation of Bcl-2/p53 in TNBC.

The Impact of Frailty on Surgical Outcome of Patients with Lumbar Spinal Canal Stenosis.

Introduction: Frailty is an important factor in surgical outcomes. The current study aimed to evaluate the effect of preoperative frailty on postoperative outcomes in older patients with lumbar spinal canal stenosis (LSCS). Methods: We retrospectively examined 209 patients aged ≥65 years who underwent surgery for LSCS. Health-related quality-of-life (HRQOL) tools, including the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RDQ), Zurich Claudication Questionnaire (ZCQ), and Japanese Orthopaedic Association Back Pain Evaluation Questionnaire (JOABPEQ), were used in the assessment conducted before surgery and at 6 months and 1 year after surgery. Frailty was categorized based on the 11-item modified frailty index (mFI-11). Patients with mFI-11 of 0, <0.21, and >0.21 were classified under the robust (R), pre-frailty (P), and frailty (F) groups, respectively. Results: According to the mFI-11, 24, 138, and 47 patients were included in the R, P, and F groups, respectively. Regarding preoperative radiographic parameters, there was a remarkable increase in the sagittal vertical axis and a significant decrease in the development of lumbar lordosis with frailty progression. The preoperative scores of RDQ and ZCQ, and lumbar function, walking ability, social life, and psychological disorder domain scores of JOABPEQ differed significantly among these groups. The frequency of revision surgery was not higher in the F group than in the other groups. After adjustment for factors have shown different distributions among the three groups, the frequency of effective surgical cases did not show a clear trend among the three groups in all domains of the JOABPEQ. Conclusions: The preoperative HRQOL scores and the radiographic parameters of patients with LSCS worsened with frailty severity. However, frailty did not affect the rate of revision surgery and surgical efficacy in patients with LSCS. Although this study has limitations, our findings indicated that even LSCS patients with frailty can be considered for surgery if they have an indication for LSCS surgery.

Intradiscal administration of autologous platelet-rich plasma in patients with Modic type 1 associated low back pain: A prospective pilot study.

Background: Various treatments for chronic low back pain (LBP) have been reported; among them, platelet-rich plasma (PRP) as a regenerative medicine has attracted much attention. Although Modic type 1 change (MC1) is associated with LBP, no treatment has been established so far. In addition, no studies have administered PRP to intervertebral discs (IVDs) in patients with LBP, targeting MC1 only. Thus, the purpose of this study was to determine the safety and efficacy of PRP administration to the IVDs in patients with MC1 experiencing LBP. Methods: PRP was injected intradiscally to 10 patients with MC1 experiencing LBP. Patients were followed prospectively for up to 24 weeks after primary administration. Physical condition, laboratory data, and lumbar x-ray images were evaluated for safety assessment. Furthermore, to evaluate the effectiveness of PRP, patient-reported outcomes were considered. In addition, changes in MC1 were assessed using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Results: There were no adverse events in the laboratory data or lumbar X-ray images after administration. The mean visual analog scale, which was 70.0 ± 13.3 before the treatment, significantly decreased 1 week after PRP administration and was 39.0 ± 28.8 at the last observation. Oswestry disability index and Roland Morris disability questionnaire scores promptly improved after treatment, and both improved significantly 24 weeks after PRP administration. Follow-up MRI 24 weeks after treatment showed a significant decrease in the mean high-signal intensity of fat-suppressed T2-weighted imaging from 10.1 to 7.90 mm2 compared with that before PRP administration. Conclusions: The safety and efficacy of PRP administration to the IVDs of patients with MC1 experiencing LBP were identified. Post-treatment MRI suggested improvement in inflammation, speculating that PRP suppressed inflammation and consequently relieved the patient's symptoms. Despite the small number of patients, this treatment is promising for patients with MC1 experiencing LBP. The study protocol has been reviewed and approved by the Certified Committee for Regenerative Medicine and the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (Japan Registry of Clinical Trials [jRCT] No. jRCTb042210159).

A Seasonal Variation of Clinical and Neurological Outcomes in Patients with Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Treated with Extracorporeal Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation: A Secondary Data Analysis of the SaveJ II Study.

The prognosis for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) has been reported to be worse in the cold season. On the other hand, it is unclear whether a similar trend exists in OHCA patients who are treated with extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR). This study was a retrospective multicenter registry study. We examined the association between ECPR and season. We compared the prognosis in four seasonal groups according to the day of occurrence. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed for the assessment of clinical and neurological outcomes. A total of 2024 patients with OHCA who received ECRP were included. There were no significant differences in in-hospital mortality (p = 0.649) and in the rate of favorable neurological outcome (p = 0.144). In the multivariable logistic regression, the seasonal factor was not significantly associated with worse in-hospital mortality (p = 0.855) and favorable neurological outcomes (p = 0.807). In this study, there was no seasonal variation in OHCA patients with ECPR.

Predicting potential target genes in molecular biology experiments using machine learning and multifaceted data sources.

Experimental analysis of functionally related genes is key to understanding biological phenomena. The selection of genes to study is a crucial and challenging step, as it requires extensive knowledge of the literature and diverse biomedical data resources. Although software tools that predict relationships between genes are available to accelerate this process, they do not directly incorporate experiment information derived from the literature. Here, we develop LEXAS, a target gene suggestion system for molecular biology experiments. LEXAS is based on machine learning models trained with diverse information sources, including 24 million experiment descriptions extracted from full-text articles in PubMed Central by using a deep-learning-based natural language processing model. By integrating the extracted experiment contexts with biomedical data sources, LEXAS suggests potential target genes for upcoming experiments, complementing existing tools like STRING, FunCoup, and GOSemSim. A simple web interface enables biologists to consider newly derived gene information while planning experiments.

Spectral Splitting Solar Cells Consisting of a Mesoscopic Wide-Bandgap Perovskite Solar Cell and an Inverted Narrow-Bandgap Perovskite Solar Cell.

In comparison to monolithic perovskite/perovskite double-junction solar cells, a four-terminal spectrum-splitting system is a simple method to obtain a higher power conversion efficiency (PCE) because it has no constraints of unifying the structures of the top and bottom cells. In this work, utilizing the fact that low-bandgap Sn-Pb bottom cells work the best in p-i-n while Pb-based wide-bandgap top cells work better in an n-i-p architecture, a wide-bandgap (Eg = 1.61 eV) perovskite solar cell with a mesoscopic structure and a narrow-bandgap (Eg = 1.27 eV) perovskite solar cell with an inverted structure were combined to fabricate a double-junction four-terminal spectral splitting solar cell. The double-junction solar cell with the 801 nm spectral splitting with an active area of 0.18 cm2 was found to work with a PCE of 25.3%, which is the highest reported so far for a 4-T all-perovskite double-junction spectral splitting solar cell.

Spinal Epidural Tuberculoma with Adjacent Vertebral Fracture: A Case Report.

CASE: An 85-year-old woman was transported to our institution due to difficulty in walking. Preoperative imaging showed spinal cord lesions indicative of spinal cord tumor at the T7-8 level, accompanied by T8 vertebral fracture. Intraoperatively, the spinal lesion was suspected to be an epidural abscess; therefore, the capsule was resected, and the abscess was drained. We added pedicle screw fixation at the T6-10 level. Postoperatively, the spinal cord lesion was definitively diagnosed as spinal epidural tuberculoma. CONCLUSION: Spinal epidural tuberculomas should be considered in the treatment of spinal cord lesions causing paralysis attributed to spinal cord compression.

Association between frailty and locomotive syndrome in elderly patients with lumbar spinal stenosis: A retrospective longitudinal analysis.

AIMS: With the aging society worldwide, lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) has become common, and its incidence has been increasing worldwide. Frailty and locomotive syndrome significantly overlap as disorders in older people. The current study aimed to validate the association between frailty and locomotive syndrome in patients with LSS. In particular, the involvement of frailty in locomotive syndrome following surgery was examined. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the time-course data of consecutive patients aged ≥65 years who underwent lumbar spinal surgery for LSS. The locomotive syndrome stages were determined using the 25-Question Geriatric Locomotive Function Scale: stage 0, score ≤6; stage 1, score ≥7; stage 2, score ≥16; and Stage 3, score ≥24. Robust, pre-frailty, and frailty were defined as a modified frailty index-11 score of 0, <0.21, and >0.21, respectively. RESULTS: This study included 234 patients. All patients except one were diagnosed with locomotive syndrome preoperatively. Approximately 24.8% of participants were diagnosed with frailty. LSS surgery improved locomotive syndrome regardless of frailty severity. Meanwhile, multivariable analysis indicated that frailty could significantly inhibit improvement in locomotive syndrome after surgery in old patients with LSS (estimated relative risk: 0.6; 95% confidence interval: 0.4-0.9). CONCLUSIONS: This study first assessed the association between locomotive syndrome and frailty in patients with LSS. Locomotive syndrome could be managed effectively with surgery regardless of frailty severity in old patients with LSS. However, our findings emphasize the need to screen for frailty preoperatively in this patient group. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 116-122.

Prognostic significance of Ishii's sarcopenia screening score for patients undergoing curative surgery for obstructive colorectal cancer after intraluminal decompression.

PURPOSE: Sarcopenia influences the short- and long-term outcomes of various medical conditions including malignancy. Ishii's screening test estimates the probability of sarcopenia based on a score calculated by three simple variables: age, grip strength, and calf circumference. We investigated the clinical significance of Ishii's score for patients with non-metastatic obstructive colorectal cancer (OCRC) who underwent curative surgery after intraluminal decompression. METHODS: Ishii's score was calculated in 79 patients with OCRC. Muscle volume loss and decreased muscle quality were evaluated by computed tomography (CT) images as skeletal muscle index (SMI) and intramuscular adipose tissue content (IMAC), respectively. RESULTS: There were 46 men and 33 women, with a median age of 70 years old. The cutoff value for Ishii's score was 155.1 and 15 patients were in the high-score group. The high-score group was significantly associated with worse time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS), and a high Ishii's score was an independent negative prognostic factor for TTR (hazard ratio = 2.93, P = 0.015). A high Ishii's score was significantly associated with a low SMI value but not with the IMAC value. CONCLUSION: A high Ishii's score was independently associated with poorer TTR in patients with non-metastatic OCRC.

Irradiation Attenuates Systemic Lupus Erythematosus-Like Morbidity in NZBWF1 Mice: Focusing on CD180-Negative Cells.

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disease characterized by the production of autoantibodies that can induce systemic inflammation. Ultraviolet-A and X-ray irradiation have been reported to have therapeutic effects in patients with SLE. We previously demonstrated that CD180-negative cells, these are radiosensitive, contribute to the development of SLE-like morbidity in NZBWF1 mice. In this study, the effects of irradiation on SLE-like morbidity manifestations in NZBWF1 mice and on CD180-negative cells were investigated. Whole-body irradiation, excluding the head, attenuated SLE-like morbidity in vivo, as indicated by the prevention of the renal lesion development, inhibition of anti-dsDNA antibody production, reduction of urinary protein levels, and prolongation of the lifespan. Irradiation also reduced the proportion of CD180-negative cells in the spleen. Although other immune cells or molecules may be triggered because of the whole-body irradiation treatment, previous research, and the current results suggest a strong relationship between the radiation-induced decrease in CD180-negative cells and the amelioration of SLE-like morbidities. Clinical trials assessing CD180-negative cells as a therapeutic target for SLE have been hampered by the lack of validated cell markers; nonetheless, the present findings suggest that radiotherapy may be a new therapeutic strategy for managing SLE symptoms.

Colon perforation due to collagenous colitis: A case report.

Collagenous colitis (CC) is generally benign, and serious complications are rare. It is important to note that spontaneous perforation of CC is a possible complication. In the case of colon perforation of unknown origin, CC should be considered.

Continuous glucose monitoring in a patient with insulinoma presenting with unawareness of postprandial hypoglycemia.

Summary: Unawareness of postprandial hypoglycemia for 5 years was identified in a 66-year-old man at a local clinic. The patient was referred to our hospital because of this first awareness of hypoglycemia (i.e. lightheadedness and impaired consciousness) developing after lunch. In a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test, the plasma glucose concentration was decreased to 32 mg/dL (1.8 mmol/L) at 150 min with relatively high concentrations of insulin (8.1 µU/mL), proinsulin (70.3 pmol/L), and C-peptide (4.63 ng/mL). In a prolonged fasting test, the plasma glucose concentration was decreased to 43 mg/dL (2.4 mmol/L) at 66 h with an insulin concentration of 1.4 µU/mL and a C-peptide concentration of 0.49 ng/mL. Computed tomography showed an 18 mm hyperenhancing tumor in the uncinate process of the pancreas. A selective arterial calcium stimulation test showed an elevated serum insulin concentration in the superior mesenteric artery. The patient was then diagnosed with insulinoma and received pancreaticoduodenectomy. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) using the Dexcom G6 system showed unawareness of hypoglycemia mainly during the daytime before surgery. When the sensor glucose value was reduced to 55 mg/dL (3.1 mmol/L), the Dexcom G6 system emitted an urgent low glucose alarm to the patient four times for 10 days. Two months after surgery, an overall increase in daily blood glucose concentrations and resolution of hypoglycemia were shown by CGM. We report a case of insulinoma with unawareness of postprandial hypoglycemia in the patient. The Dexcom G6 system was helpful for assessing preoperative hypoglycemia and for evaluating outcomes of treatment by surgery. Learning points: Insulinoma occasionally leads to postprandial hypoglycemia. The CGM system is useful for revealing the presence of unnoticed hypoglycemia and for evaluating treatment outcomes after surgical resection. The Dexcom G6 system has an urgent low glucose alarm, making it particularly suitable for patients who are unaware of hypoglycemia.

Factors associated with quality of life in patients receiving palliative radiotherapy for bone metastases: a secondary cross-sectional analysis of data from a prospective multicenter observational study.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors significantly associated with quality of life (QOL) and determine if these associations are strong enough to predict certain aspects of QOL without measuring them. METHODS: We conducted an exploratory secondary analysis of baseline data of 224 patients (enrolled between December 2020 and March 2021) from a previously published prospective observational study on radiotherapy for bone metastases at 26 centres. Using univariable linear regression, we assessed the association between patient/treatment factors and QOL scale scores as measured by the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) QOL Questionnaire Core 15-Palliative (QLQ-C15-PAL) and the EORTC QOL Questionnaire Bone Metastases module (QLQ-BM22). RESULTS: Age and sex were not significantly associated with QOL. Worse performance status, higher pain scores, and opioid and single-fraction use were significantly associated with most QOL scales; these four factors were associated with worse global QOL, worse functioning status, and more severe symptoms. The coefficients of determination for most QOL scales were less than 0.2, indicating that most of the variability in QOL scores was not explained by any of the explanatory variables. CONCLUSION: Performance status, pain intensity, and opioid and single-fraction use were significantly associated with most QOL scales. However, the associations were not strong enough to estimate QOL. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: To date, the association between treatment factors and QOL in patients with bone metastases has not been fully studied. We identified the factors that were significantly associated with QOL and found that these associations were not strong enough to predict QOL.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas concomitant with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: A investigation of those clinicopathological features by analyzing 48 patients who underwent surgery for those lesions.

BACKGROUND: Differences between pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) concomitant with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) (C-PDACs), those without IPMN (NC-PDACs) and invasive cancers derived from IPMN (IC-Ds) have not been fully clarified. METHODS: Forty-eight patients with C-PDAC were included to investigate the differences in 1) clinicopathological features and 2) post-operative courses among the three invasive cancer groups. RESULTS: 1) Characteristics of C-PDACs were mostly similar to those of NC-PDACs; whereas, between C-PDACs and IC-Ds, the rate of mucinous carcinoma (2%/25%, p = 0.003) and pathological stage (IA, 15%/36%, p = 0.033; III, 31%/4%, p = 0.015) significantly differed. Most C-PDACs coexisted with small, multifocal IPMNs without mural nodules. 2) Cumulative 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate related to extra-pancreatic recurrence was significantly worse in C-PDACs than in IC-Ds (35%/69%, p = 0.008) and was not significantly different between C-PDACs and NC-PDACs (35%/18%). This related to intra-pancreatic recurrence tended to be poor in the order of IC-Ds, C-PDACs, and NC-PDACs (69%/82%/93%). CONCLUSIONS: Because characteristics of IPMNs remarkably differed between C-PDACs and IC-Ds, another algorithm specific to the early detection of C-PDACs is necessary. Appropriate post-operative managements according to the two types of recurrences may contribute to the improvement in the prognoses of C-PDACs/IC-Ds.

Evaluation of the MVCT-based radiomic features as prognostic factor in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Megavoltage computed tomography (MVCT) images acquired during each radiotherapy session may be useful for delta radiomics. However, no studies have examined whether the MVCT-based radiomics has prognostic power. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to examine the prognostic power of the MVCT-based radiomics for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients. METHODS: 100 HNSCC patients who received definitive radiotherapy were analyzed and divided into two groups: training (n = 70) and test (n = 30) sets. MVCT images obtained using TomoTherapy for the first fraction of radiotherapy and planning kilovoltage CT (kVCT) images obtained using Aquilion LB CT scanner were analyzed. Primary gross tumor volume (GTV) was propagated from kVCT to MVCT images using rigid registration, and 107 radiomic features were extracted from the GTV in MVCT and kVCT images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model was used to examine the association between overall survival (OS) and rad score calculated for each patient by weighting the feature value through the coefficient when features were selected. Then, the predictive values of MVCT-based and kVCT-based rad score and patient-, treatment-, and tumor-specific factors were evaluated. RESULTS: C-indices of the rad score for MVCT- and kVCT-based radiomics were 0.667 and 0.685, respectively. The C-indices of 6 clinical factors were 0.538-0.622. The 3-year OS was significantly different between high- and low-risk groups according to the MVCT-based rad score (50% vs. 83%; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggested that MVCT-based radiomics had stronger prognostic power than any single clinical factor and was a useful prognostic factor when predicting OS in HNSCC patients.

Single-cell type analysis of wing premotor circuits in the ventral nerve cord of Drosophila melanogaster.

To perform most behaviors, animals must send commands from higher-order processing centers in the brain to premotor circuits that reside in ganglia distinct from the brain, such as the mammalian spinal cord or insect ventral nerve cord. How these circuits are functionally organized to generate the great diversity of animal behavior remains unclear. An important first step in unraveling the organization of premotor circuits is to identify their constituent cell types and create tools to monitor and manipulate these with high specificity to assess their function. This is possible in the tractable ventral nerve cord of the fly. To generate such a toolkit, we used a combinatorial genetic technique (split-GAL4) to create 195 sparse driver lines targeting 198 individual cell types in the ventral nerve cord. These included wing and haltere motoneurons, modulatory neurons, and interneurons. Using a combination of behavioral, developmental, and anatomical analyses, we systematically characterized the cell types targeted in our collection. Taken together, the resources and results presented here form a powerful toolkit for future investigations of neural circuits and connectivity of premotor circuits while linking them to behavioral outputs.

Who should receive single-fraction palliative radiotherapy for gastric cancer bleeding?: An exploratory analysis of a multicenter prospective observational study (JROSG 17-3).

Purpose: Although the Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI) has been used to predict survival in various cancers, to our knowledge, no study has examined its applicability in gastric cancer. This study aimed to determine the baseline PPI cutoff value for recommending single-fraction radiotherapy in patients with bleeding gastric cancer. Materials and methods: This was a secondary analysis of the Japanese Radiation Oncology Study Group (JROSG) 17-3, a multicenter prospective study of palliative radiotherapy for bleeding gastric cancer. Discrimination was evaluated using a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, and the optimal cutoff value was determined using the Youden index. A calibration plot was used to assess the agreement between predicted and observed survival. Results: We enrolled 55 patients in JROSG 17-3. The respective median survival times were 6.7, 2.8, and 1.0 months (p = 0.021) for patients with baseline PPI scores of ≤ 2, 2 < PPI ≤ 4, and PPI > 4. The areas under the curve for predicting death within 2, 3, 4, and 5 months were 0.813, 0.787, 0.775, and 0.721, respectively. The negative predictive value was highest when survival < 2 months was predicted and the Youden index was highest when the cutoff PPI value was 2. The calibration curve showed a reasonable agreement between the predicted and observed survival. Conclusion: Baseline PPI is useful for estimating short-term prognosis in patients treated with palliative radiotherapy for gastric cancer bleeding. A cutoff PPI value of 2 for estimating survival ≤ 2 months should be used to recommend single-fraction radiotherapy.